拉斯维加斯9888

题 目：New Evidence on the Financialization of Commodity Markets

汇报人：Neil D. Pearson (University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign )

时 间：2012年9月18日（周二）10:00-11:30

地 点：拉斯维加斯9888新楼216室

Abstract：Following the recent, dramatic increase in commodity investments by financial institutions, academics, practitioners, and regulators have engaged in a heated debate over whether financial institutions’ trades and holdings have affected commodity prices and their return dynamics. Distinct from the prior literature, this paper examines the price impact of commodity investments on the commodities futures markets using a novel dataset of Commodity-Linked Notes (CLNs). CLN issuers hedge their liabilities by taking long positions in the underlying commodity futures on the pricing dates. These hedging trades are plausibly exogenous to the contemporaneous and subsequent price movements, allowing us to identify the price impact of the hedging trades. We find that these hedging trades cause significant price changes in the underlying futures markets, and therefore provide direct evidence of the impact of “financial” trades on commodity futures prices.

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